PortfolioMetrics

UGL vs. DGP - ETF Comparison

UGL - ProShares Ultra Gold

The ProShares Ultra Gold ETF provides 2x daily leverage to gold prices, making it a powerful tool for investors with a bullish outlook on precious metals. However, due to its daily reset feature and explicit leverage, it's only suitable for sophisticated investors who can closely monitor their position and have a high tolerance for risk and volatility.

DGP - DB Gold Double Long Exchange Traded Notes

The DB Gold Double Long Exchange Traded Notes (DGP) is a leveraged commodity ETF that offers 2x daily long exposure to the Deutsche Bank Liquid Commodity Index-Optimum Yield Gold. It is designed for sophisticated investors with a bullish short-term outlook for gold futures and Treasury bills, but may not be suitable for those with a low risk tolerance or a buy-and-hold strategy.

UGLDGP
Fund NameProShares Ultra GoldDB Gold Double Long Exchange Traded Notes
Fund ProviderProshare Advisors LLCDeutsche Bank
IndexBloomberg Gold (-200%)Deutsche Bank Liquid Commodity Index-Optimum Yield Gold (200%)
Asset ClassCommodityCommodity
ListingUS-listedUS-listed
Expense Ratio0.95%0.75%
Inception Date2008-12-012008-02-27
Number Of Holdings11
CurrencyUSDUSD
RegionGlobalGlobal
LeveragedLeveragedLeveraged
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Key Metrics

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Performance Metrics

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Risk Metrics

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Detailed Returns

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Benchmark Comparison

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Key Metrics

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Performance Metrics

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Risk Metrics

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Detailed Returns

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Benchmark Comparison

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Performance Analysis

The performance analysis examines historical data to assess the returns of the investment strategy, including key metrics such as Cumulative returns, End of Year (EoY) returns, and risk-adjusted returns like the Sharpe ratio or the Sortino ratio.

Cumulative Returns

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End of Year Returns Table

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End of Year Returns

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Risk Analysis

The risk analysis refers to an assessment of potential negative events that could lead to a loss of capital. Conducting a risk analysis can help in deciding whether an investment should be made. This is done using risk metrics such as drawdowns, volatility and beta which reflect stakeholders' confidence in the consistency of an investment strategy.

Drawdowns

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Drawdowns Table

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Monte Carlo Simulation

The Monte Carlo simulation is a statistical method used to forecast portfolio returns by generating a wide range of potential outcomes through random sampling from historical asset price data. It helps investors assess the potential risk and return of a portfolio under various market conditions. The simulation takes into account the initial investment and optionally simulates cash flow scenarios like fixed contributions, fixed withdrawals, or percentage withdrawals.

IMPORTANT: The forecast generated through Monte Carlo simulations is purely hypothetical and does not guarantee future returns. Investment decisions should be made with consideration of various factors, and past performance is not indicative of future results.

Monte Carlo Metrics

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Simulated Portfolio Prices

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