PortfolioMetrics

UCO vs. KOLD - ETF Comparison

UCO - ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil

The ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil ETF provides 2x daily leverage to the Bloomberg Commodity Balanced WTI Crude Oil Index, allowing investors to express a bullish outlook on energy prices. This fund is suitable for sophisticated investors with a high risk tolerance and the ability to regularly monitor their position.

KOLD - ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas

The ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas ETF provides 2x daily inverse leveraged exposure to natural gas, making it a high-risk, high-reward investment option for sophisticated investors. It tracks the Bloomberg Natural Gas Index, which is comprised of natural gas futures contracts, and is designed to perform well when natural gas prices decline. This ETF is not suitable for long-term, buy-and-hold portfolios and should be monitored closely due to its daily reset feature.

UCOKOLD
Fund NameProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude OilProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas
Fund ProviderProshare Advisors LLCProshare Advisors LLC
IndexBloomberg Commodity Balanced WTI Crude Oil Index (-200%)Bloomberg Natural Gas (200%)
Asset ClassCommodityCommodity
ListingUS-listedUS-listed
Expense Ratio1.43%0.95%
Inception Date2008-11-252011-10-04
Number Of Holdings11
RegionGlobalGlobal
SectorEnergyEnergy
LeveragedLeveragedLeveraged
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Key Metrics

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Performance Metrics

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Risk Metrics

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Detailed Returns

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Benchmark Comparison

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Key Metrics

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Performance Metrics

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Risk Metrics

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Detailed Returns

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Benchmark Comparison

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Performance Analysis

The performance analysis examines historical data to assess the returns of the investment strategy, including key metrics such as Cumulative returns, End of Year (EoY) returns, and risk-adjusted returns like the Sharpe ratio or the Sortino ratio.

Cumulative Returns

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End of Year Returns Table

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End of Year Returns

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Risk Analysis

The risk analysis refers to an assessment of potential negative events that could lead to a loss of capital. Conducting a risk analysis can help in deciding whether an investment should be made. This is done using risk metrics such as drawdowns, volatility and beta which reflect stakeholders' confidence in the consistency of an investment strategy.

Drawdowns

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Drawdowns Table

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Monte Carlo Simulation

The Monte Carlo simulation is a statistical method used to forecast portfolio returns by generating a wide range of potential outcomes through random sampling from historical asset price data. It helps investors assess the potential risk and return of a portfolio under various market conditions. The simulation takes into account the initial investment and optionally simulates cash flow scenarios like fixed contributions, fixed withdrawals, or percentage withdrawals.

IMPORTANT: The forecast generated through Monte Carlo simulations is purely hypothetical and does not guarantee future returns. Investment decisions should be made with consideration of various factors, and past performance is not indicative of future results.

Monte Carlo Metrics

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Simulated Portfolio Prices

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