PortfolioMetrics

TMF vs. UBT - ETF Comparison

TMF - Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares

The Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF provides 3x leveraged exposure to the U.S. long-term treasury bond market, making it a suitable option for sophisticated investors with a bullish short-term outlook. However, it's essential to carefully consider the risks involved in leveraged debt investments and have a thorough understanding of the U.S. economy and its policies.

UBT - ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury

The ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury ETF provides 2x leveraged exposure to the U.S. 20+ Year Treasury Index, offering a powerful tool for sophisticated investors with a bullish short-term outlook for U.S. long-term treasuries.

TMFUBT
Fund NameDirexion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X SharesProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury
Fund ProviderRafferty Asset ManagementProshare Advisors LLC
IndexU.S. Treasury 20+ Year Index (300%)U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Index (-200%)
Asset ClassBondsBonds
ListingUS-listedUS-listed
Expense Ratio1.04%0.95%
Inception Date2009-04-162010-01-19
Number Of Holdings22
CurrencyUSDUSD
RegionUnited StatesUnited States
SectorFinancialsFinancials
Sector DetailGovernment BondsGovernment Bonds
Bond TypeGovernment BondsGovernment Bonds
LeveragedLeveragedLeveraged
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Key Metrics

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Performance Metrics

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Risk Metrics

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Detailed Returns

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Benchmark Comparison

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Key Metrics

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Performance Metrics

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Risk Metrics

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Detailed Returns

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Benchmark Comparison

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Performance Analysis

The performance analysis examines historical data to assess the returns of the investment strategy, including key metrics such as Cumulative returns, End of Year (EoY) returns, and risk-adjusted returns like the Sharpe ratio or the Sortino ratio.

Cumulative Returns

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End of Year Returns Table

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End of Year Returns

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Risk Analysis

The risk analysis refers to an assessment of potential negative events that could lead to a loss of capital. Conducting a risk analysis can help in deciding whether an investment should be made. This is done using risk metrics such as drawdowns, volatility and beta which reflect stakeholders' confidence in the consistency of an investment strategy.

Drawdowns

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Drawdowns Table

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Monte Carlo Simulation

The Monte Carlo simulation is a statistical method used to forecast portfolio returns by generating a wide range of potential outcomes through random sampling from historical asset price data. It helps investors assess the potential risk and return of a portfolio under various market conditions. The simulation takes into account the initial investment and optionally simulates cash flow scenarios like fixed contributions, fixed withdrawals, or percentage withdrawals.

IMPORTANT: The forecast generated through Monte Carlo simulations is purely hypothetical and does not guarantee future returns. Investment decisions should be made with consideration of various factors, and past performance is not indicative of future results.

Monte Carlo Metrics

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Simulated Portfolio Prices

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